Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006891 0.007980 0.009261 0.010897 0.012962 0.015523 0.019008
2025-10-26 0.005462 0.006781 0.008497 0.010962 0.014537 0.019757 0.028435
2025-11-02 0.004585 0.005942 0.007824 0.010747 0.015428 0.023169 0.038401
2025-11-09 0.003897 0.005197 0.007081 0.010172 0.015493 0.025185 0.047154
2025-11-16 0.003420 0.004666 0.006536 0.009748 0.015630 0.027314 0.057663
2025-11-23 0.003168 0.004425 0.006382 0.009910 0.016830 0.032028 0.078839
2025-11-30 0.002898 0.004119 0.006073 0.009731 0.017306 0.035384 0.100291
2025-12-07 0.002644 0.003809 0.005714 0.009387 0.017337 0.037687 0.121667
2025-12-14 0.002460 0.003594 0.005487 0.009251 0.017786 0.041377 0.156133
2025-12-21 0.002372 0.003524 0.005503 0.009593 0.019457 0.049767 0.239397
2025-12-28 0.002315 0.003501 0.005596 0.010111 0.021758 0.062230 0.417236
2026-01-04 0.002226 0.003412 0.005556 0.010333 0.023357 0.073732 0.700145
2026-01-11 0.002087 0.003235 0.005348 0.010188 0.024030 0.082976 1.148662
2026-01-18 0.001982 0.003111 0.005232 0.010251 0.025431 0.098332 2.466461
2026-01-25 0.001863 0.002951 0.005027 0.010056 0.025927 0.109831 5.175977
2026-02-01 0.001726 0.002747 0.004712 0.009530 0.025093 0.111938 8.291322
2026-02-08 0.001615 0.002583 0.004464 0.009143 0.024652 0.116821 16.883379
2026-02-15 0.001560 0.002522 0.004423 0.009291 0.026318 0.142267 344.447508
2026-02-22 0.001484 0.002415 0.004276 0.009127 0.026697 0.158025 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001403 0.002293 0.004085 0.008812 0.026340 0.166162 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001342 0.002207 0.003967 0.008687 0.026785 0.185833 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001318 0.002190 0.003999 0.009001 0.029413 0.247141 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001304 0.002194 0.004078 0.009475 0.033190 0.360141 NaN